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Consoles
These will resell when preorders dry up
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These will resell for solid profits
The LEGO Minas Tirith set retails for $650 and sold out through multiple preorder waves starting June 1
Sealed sets are now reselling for around $800 while LEGO backorders stretch past a month
Individual minifigs and the Grond GWP are adding roughly $300 to $500 in extra resale value
Back in May we told resellers the smart play on LEGO’s new Minas Tirith set wasn’t the display model, it was everything else in the box. Turns out we undersold it. The set has been on backorder for a month now and sealed copies are already turning a profit before most buyers have even opened the box. That almost never happens with LEGO. Even better, we laid out a plan for collectors build and keep the set but still recover over 50% of its value that’s working just as predicted. Let’s get into it.
We first got wind of the set back in December, when LEGO leakers broke the news that a massive new Lord of the Rings set was on the way. At 8,278 pieces, this is the biggest LotR ever designed and a perfect celebration for the 25th anniversary of Peter Jackson’s trilogy.
Hype around the set immediately took off, and it almost immediately began selling out on release day. Purchases made between June 1 and June 7 would also ship with a Grond GWP, and the set would sell out and go on backorder by the 8th.
The sets also included a host of minifigs, which is where our focus was. LEGO sets rarely sell out at launch and it’s even rarer to see them reselling before they’ve been discontinued, which generally makes them poor targets for resellers. However, selling exclusive minifigs individually can be very lucrative, and is an easy way to cut a deep discount on a set.
At $650, this is one of the most expensive LEGO sets ever released, and it’s unusual for a set at that price point to sell out at launch, let alone stay backordered on LEGO’s own site for over a month. LEGO has generally been good about keeping its Icons and LOTR lines in stock. This one broke that pattern, and the hype leading up to release makes it easy to see why.
What’s rare here is seeing sealed sets move for a profit this early. Sealed copies of Minas Tirith are reselling for upwards of $800, well above the $650 retail price, purely because buyers don’t want to wait out the backorder.
For reference, LEGO generally keeps their most popular sets in stock for two to three years. Afterwards, they are marked as discontinued, and this is when the market for sealed sets really takes off. It’s remarkable to see these sets reselling for a profit so early.
But the minifigs are where the real money is. LEGO set 11377 Minas Tirith includes 10 exclusive minifigs, and these are reselling for $30 to $80 depending on the character. Each set also includes four Gondor Soldier minifigs that routinely flip for around $50 individually. If you throw in the Grond GWP sets that resell for about $120, you’re looking at $400 to $500 in sales from minifigs alone.
For collectors hoping to build and display the set, flipping the minifigs and GWP on the side is an easy way to recoup up to 75% of the set’s price. If you’re solely interested in profit, resellers have flipped opened sets with the missing minifigs for around $450, bringing your total revenue to nearly $1,000 from a $650 investment.
The backorder is doing the heavy lifting here. Once supply catches up, the sealed-set market should cool off quickly since it’s driven by impatience, not scarcity. Minifig demand is a different story. Those prices are propped up by LOTR collectors and completionists who want the figures regardless of what happens to the building itself, and that kind of demand tends to hold up longer.
LEGO purchases made directly through their website carry a standard 90-day return policy, so buying at retail to flip carries limited downside if the market shifts.
Short term, expect sealed set premiums to keep climbing until LEGO gets a real restock out. Once that happens, that flip disappears fast. Minifig prices will likely soften a bit too, but we’d expect them to hold in the $300 to $400 range for the extras rather than collapsing, still close to a 50 percent discount off the set if you’re parting it out. If you’re buying to flip the sealed box specifically, treat this as a short window and don’t chase it once restocks show up regularly.
Baseball
This is the latest MLB promo to explode online
Consoles
These will resell when preorders dry up
Trading Cards
These will resell for solid profits